Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 64.002860 72.330834 80.908354 90.372580 100.492371 110.960551 122.579146
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 51.023359 62.856201 75.656648 90.407391 106.815447 124.394660 144.541354
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 43.311183 57.010780 72.383922 90.655069 111.533106 134.421645 161.191058
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 37.796459 52.812804 70.216149 91.448470 116.251001 143.944973 176.850536
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 32.445436 48.145103 66.927927 90.420362 118.427676 150.221421 188.529908
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 29.196952 45.678610 65.944549 91.823718 123.192011 159.273590 203.227413
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 26.624488 43.787725 65.434181 93.598073 128.238011 168.540477 218.097895
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 23.259801 40.520756 62.923690 92.676641 129.850137 173.625696 227.982212
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 19.814950 36.805529 59.557214 90.435814 129.646073 176.389229 235.001028
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 18.836098 36.478918 60.579943 93.734119 136.252519 187.314467 251.715574
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 17.625986 35.693598 60.898490 96.056729 141.600727 196.703129 266.604900
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 15.454529 33.256366 58.796258 95.073013 142.674866 200.809674 275.097156
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 13.399578 30.822811 56.582228 93.868106 143.442299 204.561102 283.231226
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 11.950101 29.220138 55.449133 94.043683 145.938272 210.430328 293.948064
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 10.668491 27.758919 54.418939 94.277520 148.449523 216.279978 304.621000
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 9.658116 26.659947 53.850103 95.093196 151.686658 223.021885 316.391442
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 8.322610 24.808895 52.020325 94.039486 152.373411 226.492645 324.084377
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 7.651347 24.134210 51.963516 95.477265 156.373018 234.170510 337.018556
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 7.113171 23.659869 52.185841 97.294776 160.876487 242.498404 350.785270
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 6.108097 22.097296 50.564100 96.350969 161.578391 245.910105 358.373467
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 4.991361 20.103939 48.100696 94.055368 160.344054 246.757052 362.685171
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 4.876816 20.361813 49.422811 97.434119 166.961917 257.830696 379.962210
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 4.617017 20.244387 50.086694 99.812728 172.195957 267.115079 394.998310